Last Sixteen Elimination for England?

England are one of the favourites to win Euro 2020 but just how far can they go? Bookmakers odds indicate that this could be the year when England finally lift another trophy.
Unibet have odds of 6/1 on England winning Euro 2020. Other bookies go as low as 9/2 but they don’t want to give too large odds when England fans are around betting with their hearts not their head.

Gareth Southgate has a set of players that are highly talented. They reached the last four in the 2018 World Cup and that has spread plenty of enthusiasm among fans who have been waiting decades for some success.

Should it have though? England returned home from Russia having lost three matches. That’s the most ever lost by England at a World Cup finals. Only three games were won in 90 minutes and those were over mighty Tunisia (last minute winner), Panama and Sweden.

Twice they lost to Belgium who are now the number one ranked team in the world, so why aren’t they favourites to become European champions? Yes, England beat them in the 2020/21 Nations League, but the Belgians had several key players missing and beat England on home soil.

Since 2018 England have reached the 2018/19 Nations League semi-final and go into Euro 2020 having won six consecutive matches. That doesn’t make them one of the best teams in these European Championships. There have been losses to Belgium, Denmark, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands and Spain since the 2018 World Cup.

Not since 2015 have England beaten France, it’s five years since the last wins over Germany and Portugal and nine years since a win against Italy. A big win over a top nation in a major finals is a bit of a rarity for England.

They shouldn’t have too many problems getting out of their group. All three group games are being played at Wembley, so that’ll be an advantage. Croatia aren’t in the best of form at present and nor are the Czech Republic, who lost 4-0 in Italy this week. Scotland are in good form and will be fired up for their game against England. The odds on England winning their group are 4/9 at Sky Bet.

Do England actually want to win their group though? Group F contains Portugal, France, Germany and Hungary. It’s known as the Group of Death even though you can finish third in it and still possibly make it to the last 16. The simple fact is that if England win their group, then they have to face the runners-up in Group F. Another way of putting it is that England could become the fifth members of the Group of Death.

This all means that England could face a last sixteen match against either the world champions France, defending European champions Portugal or an improving Germany. Hey, it might even be against a Hungarian side that has caused a few shocks in their group.

Even worse for England is the fact that the game won’t even be played at Wembley. This match is scheduled to be played in Copenhagen. If England do get past this difficult task, then their likely opponent in the last eight could be in-form Spain with the Netherlands waiting in the semi-final.

It’s hard to trust England’s defence against the best that Europe has to offer. Don’t be shocked if they lose in the last sixteen, especially if winning their group. Betfair will give you odds of 8/5 on England seeing their dreams end in the last sixteen, it’s a bet worth making.

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