Can Anyone Beat Baaeed in the Sussex Stakes?

With Royal Ascot over for another year, attention now turns to Glorious Goodwood. Will the Sussex Stakes on July 27 see Baaeed retain his unbeaten record?

Trainer William Haggas has never trained the winner of this Group 1 race. Bookmakers give odds of 4/7 at Paddy Power Baaeed finally providing him with a win. The four-year-old is unbeaten in his eight races but the last nine editions of the Sussex Stakes have only seen one horse of his age be successful.

Baaeed will be attempting to win a sixth race at Group level. The first was in Group 3, the next four have all been in Group 1. That included an easy win at Royal Ascot in the Queen Anne Stakes. Only once has defeat really looked possible.

That was in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes last October when finishing just a neck ahead of Palace Pier. The victory was achieved on good to soft ground though and it was his sixth race of the season. Another win at Goodwood looks a distinct possibility but it won’t be easy.

The chief rival to Baaeed will be Coroebus and the three-year-old receives an age allowance of 8lbs from the favourite. Coroebus is trained by Charlie Appelby and has won both of his races this season. The two wins came in Group 1 races, beginning with the 2000 Guineas. That success was followed by victory in the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot.

That wasn’t an easy win though as Coroebus only won by a head over Lusail. It’s 7/2 at William Hill that the 2000 Guineas winner can make the most of the weight received and win the Sussex Stakes.

This is almost a case of Charlie Appelby vs Baaeed. He also trains the third favourite, Native Trail who is 7/1 at Bet365. Native Trail was the favourite in the 2000 Guineas but finished three quarters of a length behind his stable mate.

The loss remains the only defeat Native Trail has ever suffered. Since the defeat, the three-year-old (also getting 8lbs from Baaeed) has won the Irish 2000 Guineas. Whether he’s good enough to beat Baaeed, even with the weight received is questionable but could well get placed.

Real World has finished second behind Baaeed in his last two races. He’s won two Group 2 races and one in Group 3. Aged five, there’s no weight to be received from Baaeed and he looks held after those two losses. At least the race will be on turf after two poor runs on dirt earlier in the year. He’s 10/1 at Unibet to win the Sussex Stakes.

Aidan O’Brien has won this race on five occasions but not since 2016. He looks to have his work cut out this year with his best hope being Order of Australia (20/1 at Betfair). The four-year-old won a Group 2 race at the Curragh last year but has lost the five that have followed, including two against Baaeed. An each-way chance at best for O’Brien.

Unbeaten records are there to be lost but Baaeed seems to have everything going for him in this race.

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